Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028439 0.030636 0.032933 0.035517 0.038345 0.041352 0.044795
2025-02-02 0.025162 0.028328 0.031816 0.035958 0.040759 0.046168 0.052752
2025-02-09 0.022527 0.026199 0.030404 0.035604 0.041900 0.049322 0.058803
2025-02-16 0.020663 0.024664 0.029394 0.035440 0.043028 0.052319 0.064686
2025-02-23 0.019124 0.023331 0.028436 0.035150 0.043839 0.054835 0.070009
2025-03-02 0.017968 0.022346 0.027785 0.035121 0.044884 0.057614 0.075775
2025-03-09 0.016786 0.021227 0.026856 0.034619 0.045207 0.059387 0.080230
2025-03-16 0.015687 0.020133 0.025872 0.033944 0.045201 0.060648 0.083985
2025-03-23 0.014848 0.019323 0.025198 0.033619 0.045615 0.062465 0.088609
2025-03-30 0.014100 0.018587 0.024572 0.033302 0.045988 0.064204 0.093195
2025-04-06 0.013312 0.017750 0.023754 0.032651 0.045815 0.065101 0.096516
2025-04-13 0.012919 0.017437 0.023641 0.032990 0.047093 0.068208 0.103485
2025-04-20 0.012421 0.016955 0.023270 0.032938 0.047791 0.070492 0.109352
2025-04-27 0.012094 0.016700 0.023208 0.033334 0.049187 0.073941 0.117407
2025-05-04 0.011584 0.016155 0.022692 0.033009 0.049426 0.075544 0.122442
2025-05-11 0.011160 0.015715 0.022309 0.032858 0.049920 0.077574 0.128356
2025-05-18 0.010736 0.015255 0.021870 0.032592 0.050201 0.079251 0.133751
2025-05-25 0.010402 0.014914 0.021595 0.032566 0.050865 0.081600 0.140541
2025-06-01 0.009982 0.014425 0.021069 0.032107 0.050770 0.082621 0.144913
2025-06-08 0.009549 0.013900 0.020466 0.031490 0.050366 0.083063 0.148190
2025-06-15 0.009217 0.013518 0.020070 0.031193 0.050491 0.084445 0.153399
2025-06-22 0.008906 0.013156 0.019691 0.030903 0.050607 0.085806 0.158662
2025-06-29 0.008545 0.012703 0.019147 0.030308 0.050145 0.086063 0.161679